Conservative Portfolio Strategy
Last update: January 24,
1999
A stock is purchased
if: 1) it has a market capitalization of more than $1 billion. 2) it has a relatively smooth, upward-sloping 10-month moving average. 3) it has consistent revenue and earnings growth 4) its PE ratio is less than three times its three-year EPS growth rate 5) its three-year EPS growth rate is greater than 10% 6) its three-year annualized return is greater than 30% A stock is sold if: 1) it encounters severe fundamental problems. 2) it trades 30% or more above its 10-month moving average. 3) another stock looks more compelling. This portfolio will NOT include short positions. Goal: The goal of this portfolio is to significantly beat the performance of the S&P 500 each year. Theory: By focusing all purchases on non-volatile, blue-chip companies, the portfolio's gains will match those of the S&P 500 in an up market and the portfolio's losses will be less than those of S&P 500 in a down market. Stocks: Most purchases will come from the tables shown on the Stocks To Watch pages. Funds: Borrowed funds (margin) will NOT be used. |
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